Predict.fun

Predict.fun launched on BNB Chain in December 2025 as a BNB-native prediction market.⁠[1]

Predict.fun announced the acquisition of Probable, an on-chain prediction platform incubated by PancakeSwap and YZi Labs, bringing its team in-house. The company said it had processed $1.5 billion in cumulative volume for more than 120,000 users since launch.⁠[1]

Predict.fun announced a strategic funding round with YZi Labs and Susquehanna Crypto, without disclosing the amount. YZi Labs, which first backed the platform during EASY Residency Season 2, made a follow-on investment, and Susquehanna Crypto was to help with market quality and liquidity.⁠[2]

On April 9, 2026, BinanceBinanceBinance is a global digital asset trading and multi-asset financial platform launched in 2017 and co-founded by Changpeng Zhao and Yi He. Its business has expanded from spot trading to derivatives, wallets, payments, a public blockchain ecosystem, market data, traditional securities, and artificial intelligence interfaces; its history also includes security incidents, regulatory enforcement across multiple jurisdictions, a 2023 U.S. criminal settlement, and subsequent compliance restructuring.Open the full entry Wallet announced in-app access to prediction markets through Predict.fun’s smart contracts. On July 15, Predict.fun explained that eligible markets route USDT collateral to Venus Protocol for variable yield, with the platform taking 10% of earned yield as a management fee.⁠[3]

The on-chain analysis account Onchain Lens issued an alert saying Predict.fun was likely exploited, with about $300,000 in suspected funds moving from multiple contracts through intermediary wallets and a cross-chain bridge service to Tornado CashTornado CashTornado Cash is open-source, non-custodial crypto-asset mixing software deployed on Ethereum in 2019: users deposit assets into shared pools and later withdraw them to new addresses with a cryptographic proof, breaking the on-chain link between deposit and withdrawal addresses. The US Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) sanctioned it in August 2022, citing its use to launder funds stolen by the North Korean hacking group Lazarus Group and others; the US Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit ruled in November 2024 that its immutable smart contracts are not sanctionable “property,” and OFAC delisted it in March 2025. Developer Alexey Pertsev was convicted of money laundering in the Netherlands, and Roman Storm was convicted in the United States of conspiring to operate an unlicensed money transmitting business; as of October 2026, a retrial on his two remaining charges was still pending.Open the full entry.⁠[4]

Predict.fun then confirmed in a statement that a small number of users had experienced unauthorized transfers from their wallets totaling about 400,000 USDT. Its preliminary investigation pointed to a possible compromise of its API documentation site, hosted by a third-party provider, which it took offline. The company pledged to fully reimburse funds lost as a direct result and to publish a full post-mortem after its investigation.⁠[5]

Predict.fun announced its native token PREDICT, with a fixed supply of 1 billion: 51.95% for ecosystem and community and 26.05% for early backers, with 16% unlocked at TGE and 70 million tokens allocated to the Season 1 airdrop.⁠[6]

The platform then said the PREDICT TGE and Season 1 airdrop claim were delayed in line with the postponement of Binance Alpha and spot trading, with a new time to be announced.⁠[7]